Egypt: Referendum vote shows fall
in support for President Mursi
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Dec 20, 2012 By David Johnson, Socialist Party (CWI England & Wales) |
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Regime
squeezed between workers’ opposition to austerity and ruling class
President Mursi’s referendum on a new constitution for Egypt has not produced the strong vote in favor he hoped for. Ten out of 27 governorates (regions) voted on Saturday 15th December, with 4.6 million (56.5%) voting in favor and 3.5 million (43.5%) against. What was striking was that barely one in three turned out to vote. 52% voted in the second round of the presidential election in June when Mursi was elected. The numbers not voting were increased by new measures requiring residents to go to their registered district to vote. This is estimated to have deprived ten million of their right to vote, particularly those who have moved to cities to work who could not take time off to travel back to their original home. Clearly the regime’s aim is to strengthen the relative weight of the generally more conservative rural areas. The vote is being taken over two days (with the rest of the country voting on 22nd December) because the Judges’ Club refused to supervise polling stations in opposition to Mursi’s attempted power grab that made him unchallengeable in the courts. In the face of mass opposition on the streets, Mursi partly backed down, conceding that his extra powers would not continue beyond the referendum. Opposition parties have reported many cases of vote-rigging and absence of independent supervision at polling stations. Voting analysis of the first round shows major cities, where the concentration of the working class is highest, opposed the constitution. Cairo governorate voted 43.1% for the constitution, and 56.9% against. Gharbiya governorate in the Nile delta, including the industrial cities of Mahalla Al-Kubra and Tanta, voted 47.9% for and 52.1% against. A narrow majority voted against in Alexandria. Meanwhile, in more rural Assiut 76.1% voted for. The vote also shows a fall in support for Mursi and right-wing political Islam since the parliamentary elections twelve months ago, when over 70% voted for the Muslim Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party or the more conservative Salafist party, Nour. A full analysis of trends will need to wait until the whole country has voted. Little support for new constitution It seems the new constitution will be passed, but by little more than about one voter in five. That is a very weak position for Mursi and his government, who are being squeezed between growing opposition to his attempts to impose austerity from workers and the poor and pressure from the ruling class. The government attempted to introduce new taxes and raise existing ones, as part of a deal to get a $4.8 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund. Within hours, the government reversed its announcement and postponed any tax rises until after the constitution referendum was out of the way and asked the IMF to postpone the loan. The most prominent opposition leaders in the newly-formed National Salvation Front are not talking about tax rises for the poor while big business continues to make huge profits. Limiting their campaign to constitutional issues means they will not build mass support among the workers and poor masses. The daily struggle to survive, as food and cooking gas prices rise, is a higher priority for the millions who did not vote. After two years of upheavals there are many who wish for a more stable life. The jobs situation remains desperate, especially as tourism will be hit again by the recent street battles, as well as continuing recession in Europe. The poor who did vote for the constitution can be won away from support for right wing political Islam if the growing independent trade unions organize together, building a political party based on the interests of the working class and campaigning for a clear socialist programme. That would refute attempts by Mursi to paint the opposition as supporters of the old Mubarak regime. Notwithstanding Mursi’s conflicts with some parts of the old elite, his government is defending the interests of big business, who continue to take profits from out of the pockets of the working class and poor, just as under Mubarak and SCAF. A second, socialist revolution is needed to end their rule. | ||
This space is dedicated to the proposition that we need to know the history of the struggles on the left and of earlier progressive movements here and world-wide. If we can learn from the mistakes made in the past (as well as what went right) we can move forward in the future to create a more just and equitable society. We will be reviewing books, CDs, and movies we believe everyone needs to read, hear and look at as well as making commentary from time to time. Greg Green, site manager
Saturday, January 05, 2013
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Socialist Alternative, P.O. Box 45343, Seattle WA 98145 Phone: (206)526-7185 Comments? Suggestions for improving our web page? Please email info@SocialistAlternative.org |
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Friday, January 04, 2013
When The Blues Was Dues- Lucinda Williams’ “Lake Charles”
…she knew he was trouble from the first minute that she set eyes on him. What kind of trouble, heartache, money, sex, other women, drugs, drink, lazy no account laying about, she didn’t know but trouble spelt in big letters. Just that minute though she was looking for a little trouble, a little trouble after her old beau Jean Jacques (Johnny) Dubois up and left her with her younger sister (the bitch, and she can have that damn two-timing him) and lit out for the Dakotas, and she could feel it in her quickened breathe at the sight of him and that moist little feeling down by her thighs, what did Johnny call it, down by her love hole, after that first look when she realized that she was looking for just his sized trouble. So don’t blame him entirely for everything that happened. Yah, don’t blame him entirely.
He, later name exchanged Lanny, he and she headed out of town wordless toward the bayou road that ran over to Lafayette that meant only one thing, Jimmy’s Pier, the local lovers’ lane. Her breathe quickened again (and she got wet down there by her thighs all over again) at the thought of heading there in broad daylight as he turned on the car radio as some Hank Williams jambalaya stew broth came on. After they landed at Jimmy’s, still wordless, they went about their savage love business (hell, not love- making just pure buck- naked sex).She had practically torn off her dress in a flash like some two dollar whore to let him at her. And so that is how they started, started their short intense trouble.
And she didn’t mind the trouble for a while because Lanny was sweet to her, kind to her, knew how get her going but there was always something dark in his mood even when making love, something Texas- sized that was eating at him. He started to drink a little more as time went on, at first she joined him but finding she could not keep up just kind of stopped and would drive the car when he got too blasted. Later he was taking drugs (unknown to her, cocaine and some meth) and for a while he would be calm, they would make great love, and she would be happy. Then his love-making became more savage, more insistent. he hurt her with his penetrations a couple of times. During that time he started talking about him, they, but usually he used him unless she corrected him, moseying on back to Texas and some wildcatter work, or something. She didn’t want to go, but would, because, well because she was his woman. And that was that.
Then one night, one misty bayou night, after he had left her in front of her house, he revved up that canary yellow Camaro and headed out on rained- slickened roads fast. According to the later state police report they found him crashed, flame crashed, almost at the Texas line in a ravine. His body filled with alcohol and cocaine.
Her Lanny lived too fast to live too long but every once in a while she would think back to that first date, that unspoken first date, and have no regrets about taking in that little trouble that tall Texas boy brought her way.
…and hence Lake Charles
Lucinda Williams Lake Charles written by Lucinda Williams
A E A
He had a reason to get back to Lake Charles
D
He used to talk about it
A
He'd just go on and on
E
He always said Louisana
A
Was where he felt at home
A E A
He was born in Nacogdoches
D
That's in East Texas
A
Not far from the border
E
But he liked to tell everybody
A
He was from Lake Charles
D A
Did an angel whisper in your ear
D A
And hold you close and take away your fear
E A
In those long last moments
A
We used to drive
E A
Thru Lafayette and Baton Rouge
D
In a yellow Camino
A
Listening to Howling Wolf
E
He liked to stop in Lake Charles
A
Cause that's the place that he loved
A E A
Did you run about as far as you could go
D
Down the Lousiana highway
A
Across Lake Ponchatrain
E
Now your soul is in Lake Charles
A
No matter what they say
D A
Did an angel whisper in your ear
D A
And hold you close and take away your fear
E A
In those long last moments
SOLO
A E A
He had a reason to get back to Lake Charles
D
He used to talk about it
A
He'd just go on and on
E
He always said Louisana
A
Was where he felt at home
D A
Did an angel whisper in your ear
D A
And hold you close and take away your fear
E A
In those long last moments
D A
Did an angel whisper in your ear
D A
And hold you close and take away your fear
E A
In those long last moments
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