NEW
WARS / OLD WARS – What Could Possibly Go Wrong?
More US Troops Needed
to Beat ISIS, Pentagon Officials Conclude
Pentagon
officials have concluded that hundreds more trainers, advisers and commandos
from the United States and its allies will need to be sent to Iraq and Syria in
the coming months as the campaign to isolate the Islamic State intensifies. In
meetings with President Obama’s national security team in recent weeks,
military officials have told the White House that they believe they have made
significant progress in the fight against the Islamic State in both Iraq and
Syria, administration officials said. But to deal a lasting blow to the
extremist Sunni militancy, also known as ISIS and ISIL, they believe that additional forces will be
needed to work with Iraqi, Kurdish and Syrian opposition fighters on the ground
in the two countries. More
U.S. Relies Heavily
on Saudi Money to Support Syrian Rebels
When President
Obama secretly authorized the Central Intelligence Agency to begin arming Syria’s embattled rebels in 2013, the spy agency knew it would
have a willing partner to help pay for the covert operation. It was the same
partner the C.I.A. has relied on for decades for money and discretion in
far-off conflicts: the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Since then, the C.I.A. and its Saudi
counterpart have maintained an unusual arrangement for the rebel-training
mission, which the Americans have code-named Timber Sycamore. Under the deal,
current and former administration officials said, the Saudis contribute both
weapons and large sums of money, and the C.I.A takes the lead in training the
rebels on AK-47 assault rifles and tank-destroying missiles… “They understand
that they have to have us, and we understand that we have to have them,” said
Mike Rogers, the former Republican congressman from Michigan who was chairman of
the House Intelligence
Committee when the C.I.A. operation began. More
A
new round of Syrian peace talks, known as Geneva III, was supposed to begin on
January 25 but ended up being postponed to January 29. Now that the day has
arrived, they’re still not quite ready to begin… The reasons for these delays
are complex, but the primary issue is a dispute over who should be allowed to
represent the Syrian opposition and perhaps whether it is useful to think in
terms of a single Syrian opposition at all. Opposition groups and individuals
who participated in the December Riyadh meeting as well as Russian-backed
individuals have been invited in various capacities, while so far Kurdish groups
are excluded. And while no one expects any significant progress toward a
resolution of the Syria conflict to emerge from the meetings, de Mistura is hard
at work trying to establish Geneva III as a framework for conflict management
and the mitigation of Syrians’ horrific suffering. More
Will Syrian regime's
advances on the ground strengthen their position in Geneva?
The Syrian
regime forces achieved significant progress on the front opened in October on
Latakia's countryside by controlling the town of Salma in the north of the
province Jan. 12. On this same date, another military offensive opened on the
southern countryside of Hama, specifically on the Homs-Hama border… The Syrian regime's offensive on the Latakia countryside, the Hama
countryside and the Homs countryside — which seems to be the regime’s new
destination, according to the military situation on the ground and the continued
Russian support — and its previous offensive on the countryside of Daraa plus truces in Homs and Rif Dimashq seem to be an attempt by the
regime to control vital areas in Syria and secure major cities in the country,
from Daraa to Hama and all the way to the coast, in order to have the strongest
voice at the negotiating table. More
More detail on the military situation
here
U.S. and Allies Weigh
Military Action Against ISIS in Libya
Worried about a
growing threat from the Islamic State in Libya, the United States and its allies
are increasing reconnaissance flights and intelligence collecting there and
preparing for possible airstrikes and commando raids, senior American policy
makers, commanders and intelligence officials said this week. … “It’s fair to
say that we’re looking to take decisive military action against ISIL in
conjunction with the political process” in Libya, [Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chairman General Joseph] Dunford said. “The president has made clear that we
have the authority to use military force.” More
The U.S. Intervention
in Libya Was Such a Smashing Success That a Sequel Is Coming
The immediate
aftermath of the NATO bombing of Libya was a time of high gloating. Just as Iraq War advocates pointed to the capture
and killing of Saddam Hussein as proof that their war was a success, Libya war
advocates pointed to the capture and brutal killing of Muammar el-Qaddafi as
proof of their vindication. War advocates such as Anne-Marie Slaughterand Nicholas Kristof were writing columns celebrating their
prescience and mocking war opponents as discredited, and the New York
Times published a front-page article declaring: “U.S. Tactics in Libya May be
a Model for Other Efforts.” … Since then, Libya — so predictably — has all but
completely collapsed, spending years now drowning in instability, anarchy,
fractured militia rule, sectarian conflict, and violent extremism… As it turns
out, one of the few benefits of the NATO bombing of Libya will redound to the
permanent winners in the private-public axis that constitutes the machine of
Endless Militarism: It provided a pretext for another new war.
More
The Long War in
Afghanistan Grows Longer
American
involvement in the long Afghan war was supposed to come to a close by the end of
the year, but an array of top Pentagon officials spent Thursday making clear
that U.S. troops will be fighting — and potentially dying — there for years to
come.
The United
States will “stick with Afghanistan, but not just in 2016, that’s 2017 and
beyond,” Defense Secretary Ash Carter told reporters at the Pentagon Thursday
afternoon, adding that the Afghan army and police remain “a force in building.”
Just hours earlier, Lt. Gen. John Nicholson, President Barack Obama’s choice to
be the next general to lead the war there, told a congressional panel that “in
some areas we have years to go” before the Afghan army and police can stand on
their own, despite the $60 billion Washington has already spent to train and
equip them. More
The U.S. was supposed
to leave Afghanistan by 2017. Now it might take decades
Top U.S.
military commanders, who only a few months ago were planning to pull the last
American troops out of Afghanistan by year’s end, are now quietly talking about
an American commitment that could keep thousands of troops in the country for
decades.
The shift in
mind-set, made possible by President Obama’s decision last fall to cancel
withdrawal plans, reflects the Afghan government’s vulnerability to continued
militant assault and concern that terrorist groups such as al-Qaeda continue to
build training camps whose effect could be felt far beyond the region, said
senior military officials. More
A United Nations
panel of experts concluded in October 2015 that the Saudi-led coalition had
committed “grave violations” of civilians’ human rights. They include
indiscriminate attacks; targeting markets, a camp for displaced Yemenis, and
humanitarian aid warehouses; and intentionally preventing the delivery of
humanitarian assistance… The U.S. government is the primary supplier of Saudi
weapons. In November 2015, the U.S. sold $1.29 billion worth of arms to Saudi
Arabia. It included more than 10,000 bombs, munitions, and weapons parts
manufactured by Raytheon and Boeing, as well as bunker busters, and laser-guided
and “general purpose” bombs. A month earlier, the United States had approved a
$11.25 billion sale of combat ships to Saudi Arabia. The U.S. also provides
intelligence and logistical support to the coalition. During the past five
years, the U.S. government has sold the Saudis $100 billion worth of arms. These
sales have greatly enriched U.S. defense contractors. More
Media Silent As
US-Backed Saudi Forces Starve Half Million Yemeni Children
While the media
was flooded with images of the starving children of Syria, the thousands of
children suffering from Saudi Arabia’s U.S.-backed onslaught on Yemen made far
fewer headlines. The mainstream media was eager to report on the struggle for
survival in Madaya. The mountain town near Syria’s southwestern border was once
known as a popular resort destination in the Middle East, but its population is
now reportedly being starved under a siege by the Syrian army… UNICEF reported in
October that 537,000 Yemeni children were at risk of severe malnutrition
nationwide, while Alexi O’Brien, reporting for Al-Jazeera in September, noted
that the United Nations warned that 96,000 children were “starving and
close to death” in the port city of al-Hodeidah, and an additional 8,000
children faced starvation in Aden in 2016. More
Israel
warms to Sunni powers, questions US' Palestinian focus
Outlining
the fast-developing relationship between Israel and other Sunni states in the
region, including Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan and Turkey, the official went
beyond earlier comments by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and expressed
Israel’s dismay at U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East. “We have the chance
now to make a coalition with Saudi Arabia, North African states, the Gulf
States, and Turkey,” Ayoob Kara, Israel’s deputy minister for regional
cooperation, told FoxNews.com. “We need the U.S. with us, but … they first want
the Palestinians to become partners with Israel. We could be waiting another 50
years. Why do we have to wait?” “I think we now have the chance to open a new
relationship with what is referred to as the Saudi [Sunni] coalition.”
More
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