NEW
WARS / OLD WARS – What Could Possibly Go Wrong?
MAIREAD MAGUIRE:
Syrian Peace Groups: This is not a Civil War, it is a Set of Foreign
Invasions
Many Syrians are
traumatized and in shock and ask ‘how did this happen to our country’? Proxy
wars are something they thought only happened in other countries, but now Syria
too has been turned into a war-ground in the geo-political landscape controlled
by the western global elite and their allies in the Middle East… Few Syrians we
met were under the illusion that their elected (7O percent) leader President
Assad, was perfect yet many admired him and felt he was much preferred to the
alternative of the government falling into the hands of the Jihadists fighters,
fundamental extremists with ideology that would force the minorities (and
moderate Sunnis) to flee Syria (or many to get killed)… They appealed to us to
ask the international community to end the war on Syria, and support peace.
More
Saudi Arabia
officially canceled a weeks-old cease-fire in its war against Yemen Saturday,
ending a formal period of truce between the regime and the Houthi insurgency
that began on December 15. The regime has already launched a fresh wave of
airstrikes since declaring the truce over. According to the UN Saudi jets have
pounded areas throughout the country over the last three days in attacks that
have already destroyed a handful of civilian targets… The US government and
military have played a central role in the war, providing close support for the
Saudi air campaign, including logistics, weapons, intelligence and target
selection. The US has carried out thousands of mid-air refuels of Saudi
coalition planes, and has been running joint military operation centers in Saudi
territory to streamline the assault. More
Politicians
Use North Korea H-Bomb Fears to Pitch Wasteful Missile Defense
Projects
Republican
politicians responded almost reflexively to the North Korean nuclear test on
Tuesday by demanding more spending on missile defense programs that have
historically proved ineffective at preventing an enemy strike — but are built by
companies that have lavished policymakers with campaign cash and political
support… Since the early 1990s, politicians of both parties have cited the
threat of North Korea to demand funding for an array of missile defense
programs that quickly became monumental examples of government waste. Meanwhile,
the contractors involved in these projects, including Lockheed Martin, Boeing,
and Raytheon, among others, have manipulated the politics around these programs
by funding politicians, pundits, think tanks, and lobbyists behind the
never-ending spiral of taxpayer spending. More than $50 billion has been spent
on ineffective missile defense programs so far — the result of efforts that
often began by citing the threat of states such as North Korea.
More
To End
North Korea’s Nuclear Program, End the Korean War
Why
now — especially when the door to inter-Korean talks has been open since August,
when the two countries struck
a deal to ratchet down tensions? One reason is that North Korea sees its
time running out to reach a deal with the Obama administration. “North Korea’s
latest nuclear test is a response to the growing and worrisome trend of hardline
foreign policy of the United States in Northeast Asia,” argues Korea policy
analyst Simone Chun. Chun cites this assessment from the Council on Foreign Relations:
“Resolving the current standoff will probably become more difficult after Obama
leaves office, as the next administration, no matter who wins the 2016
presidential election, is likely to be more hardline in its foreign and defense
policy.” …
The
1953 armistice that halted the fighting was supposed to be followed within 90
days by talks for a formal peace treaty. Over 60 years later, however, the
Korean War still isn’t over. The result is intense militarization, recurrent
military clashes, and the threat of dangerous miscalculation, which could lead
to the annihilation of the Korean peninsula. More
There should be
little doubt that Saudi Arabia wanted to escalate regional tensions into a
crisis by executing Shi’ite cleric Nimr al-Nimr… It is difficult to see that
Saudi Arabia did not know that its decision to execute Nimr would not cause
uproar in the region and wouldn’t put additional strains on its already tense
relations with Iran. The inexcusable torching of the Saudi embassy in Iran —
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani condemned it and called it “totally
unjustifiable,” though footage shows that Iranian security forces did little
to prevent the attack — in turn provided Riyadh with the perfect pretext to cut
diplomatic ties with Tehran. With that, Riyadh significantly undermined U.S.-led
regional diplomacy on both Syria and Yemen… Now, by having cut its diplomatic
relations with Iran, the Saudis have the perfect excuse to slow down, undermine
and possibly completely scuttle these U.S.-led negotiations, if they should
choose to do so. More
As Saudi Arabia
Executes Cleric, Will U.S. Respond by Cutting $50 Billion in Weapons
Sales?
After Saudi
Arabia executed Shiite cleric Sheikh Nimr al-Nimr on Saturday along with 46
others, protesters in the Iranian capital of Tehran responded by torching part
of the Saudi Embassy. On Sunday, Saudi Arabia responded by severing ties with
Iran. With Saudi Arabia and Iran backing opposing groups in Syria and Iraq, and
on opposite sides of the conflict in Yemen, we examine how this will impact both
regional tensions and the U.S. relationship with Saudi Arabia. Under the Obama
administration, the United States has entered a record $50 billion in new arms
sales agreements with the Saudis. "If the Obama administration wants to show its
displeasure with this execution and try to bring an end to the war in Yemen,
there’s got to be a distancing from Saudi Arabia, beginning with cutting off
some of these arms supplies,” says William Hartung, senior adviser to the
Security Assistance Monitor and director of the Arms and Security Project at the
Center for International Policy. More
Why Saudi Arabia
escalated the Middle East’s sectarian conflict
The Saudi
escalation is above all driven by its fear of the potential success of the U.S.
deal with Iran over its nuclear weapons program. Saudi Arabia
views Iran’s reintegration into the international order and its evolving
relationship with Washington as a profound threat to its own regional position.
Mobilizing anti-Shiite sectarianism is a familiar move in its effort to sustain
Iranian containment and isolation. The Saudis have been opposed to virtually
every major American policy initiative in the Middle East over the last five
years — not only the Iran deal, but also American support for Egyptian democracy
and Obama’s resistance to intervening in Syria. The sectarian escalation likely
is meant to undermine America’s primary strategic objectives in the region such
as the Iran deal and a negotiated end to the Syria war by inflaming tensions in
ways that make diplomatic progress impossible. More
Saudi Arabia’s
Dangerous Sectarian Game
Why did Saudi
Arabia want this now? Because the kingdom is under pressure: Oil prices, on
which the economy depends almost entirely, are plummeting; a thaw in
Iranian-American relations threatens to diminish Riyadh’s special place in
regional politics; the Saudi military is failing in its war in Yemen. In this
context, a row with Iran is not a problem so much as an opportunity. The royals
in Riyadh most likely believe that it will allow them to stop dissent at home,
shore up support among the Sunni majority and bring regional allies to their
side. In the short term, they may be right. But eventually, stoking sectarianism
will only empower extremists and further destabilize an already explosive
region… The danger in Saudi Arabia’s ongoing sectarian and anti-Iranian
incitement — of which Sheikh Nimr’s execution is just one part — is that it is
uncontrollable. As is clear in Syria, Iraq and even further afield, sectarian
hostility has taken on a life beyond what the kingdom’s architects are able to
manage. More
US scrambles to curb
damage from Saudi-Iranian fallout
With long-sought
UN Syria peace talks set for later this month at stake as well as the wider
fight against the Islamic State, Washington and its allies were scrambling Jan.
4 to try to stem the fallout from Saudi Arabia’s abrupt decision to sever
diplomatic relations with Iran following attacks on the Saudi Embassy in Tehran
in the wake of the Saudis’ execution of a dissident Shiite cleric… While
condemning the attacks on diplomatic facilities, former senior US officials who
worked on the Middle East expressed puzzlement and dismay at the Saudi decision
to carry out the execution of Saudi Shiite cleric Nimr al-Nimr, which was certain to stoke sectarian reactions
across the region at such a sensitive moment. More
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